Question 1
Statistical information: 90% of lottery winners go bankrupt within 5 years. Maria won the lottery.
What is the most reasonable inference?
This is probabilistic reasoning. The statistical evidence (90% of lottery winners go bankrupt within 5 years. Maria won the lottery.) doesn't guarantee certainty, but it provides strong support for: Maria will likely face financial difficulties
Remember: Probability inferences are about likelihood, not certainty.
Remember: Probability inferences are about likelihood, not certainty.