Question 1
Statistical information: The probability of rain given dark clouds is 85%. The sky has dark clouds.
What is the most reasonable inference?
This is probabilistic reasoning. The statistical evidence (The probability of rain given dark clouds is 85%. The sky has dark clouds.) doesn't guarantee certainty, but it provides strong support for: It will probably rain
Remember: Probability inferences are about likelihood, not certainty.
Remember: Probability inferences are about likelihood, not certainty.