Question 1
Statistical information: 90% of people who exercise regularly are healthy. Tom exercises regularly.
What is the most reasonable inference?
This is probabilistic reasoning. The statistical evidence (90% of people who exercise regularly are healthy. Tom exercises regularly.) doesn't guarantee certainty, but it provides strong support for: Tom is likely healthy
Remember: Probability inferences are about likelihood, not certainty.
Remember: Probability inferences are about likelihood, not certainty.