Question 1
Statistical information: 85% of students who study hard pass exams. Lisa studies very hard.
What is the most reasonable inference?
This is probabilistic reasoning. The statistical evidence (85% of students who study hard pass exams. Lisa studies very hard.) doesn't guarantee certainty, but it provides strong support for: Lisa will probably pass
Remember: Probability inferences are about likelihood, not certainty.
Remember: Probability inferences are about likelihood, not certainty.