Question 1
Statistical information: Only 10% of unprepared students get good grades. Sam is unprepared.
What is the most reasonable inference?
This is probabilistic reasoning. The statistical evidence (Only 10% of unprepared students get good grades. Sam is unprepared.) doesn't guarantee certainty, but it provides strong support for: Sam will likely not get good grades
Remember: Probability inferences are about likelihood, not certainty.
Remember: Probability inferences are about likelihood, not certainty.