Decision Making - Advanced Level: decision puzzles ADVANCED

Level up your decision making skills with this challenging mix. 20 advanced-level problems await in Worksheet 24 of 30. Focus area: decision puzzles. Learn optimal decisions, critical choices, decision analysis through systematic practice. Designed for advanced learners seeking complex scenarios and multi-step problems.

📝 Worksheet 24 of 30 • 20 questions • ⏱️ Estimated time: 20 minutes • 🎯 Advanced level

What you'll learn in this worksheet:
Your progress through Decision Making
Worksheet 24 of 30 (80% complete)

Question 1

Decision: Pharmaceutical company setting price for life-saving drug Considering all stakeholder impacts, what is the most ethical and practical approach?
Balances profit motive with access to medicine. Differentiated pricing maximizes revenue while ensuring affordability in developing nations. This approach balances competing interests while prioritizing overall welfare.

Question 2

Decision: Expand to international market or focus on domestic growth? Based on expected value analysis, what is the optimal strategy?
International: 25% chance of 1000 profit, 75% chance of 100 loss → EV=250-75=175. Domestic: 60% chance of 400 profit, 40% chance of 50 loss → EV=240-20=220. Domestic focus has higher expected value.

Question 3

Situation: A company must decide between expanding to Location A (high rent, skilled workforce) or Location B (low rent, requires training employees). What should be the primary criterion for this decision?
This considers the strategic impact beyond immediate costs. Even with higher rent, a skilled workforce and better market access can generate higher returns, making growth potential the primary criterion.

Question 4

Decision: City council deciding on new affordable housing project location Considering all stakeholder impacts, what is the most ethical and practical approach?
Distributes impact across neighborhoods, reduces concentrated opposition, provides better integration with existing communities. This approach balances competing interests while prioritizing overall welfare.

Question 5

Situation: During a riot, you must decide whether to deploy tear gas on a crowd of 500 protesters (risk of injury to 50, but stop violence) or let them protest (risk of 100 injuries from violence). What is the best decision in this emergency situation?
Risk assessment: 50 injuries from tear gas vs 100 injuries from violence. Immediate deployment minimizes total harm despite short-term side effects.

Question 6

Situation: Factory fire with 50 workers inside. You can either: try to extinguish fire (30% success, 10 minutes, saves all) or evacuate (100% success, 5 minutes, saves 40 workers). What is the best decision in this emergency situation?
Expected value: Extinguish = 50×0.3 = 15 expected saved; Evacuate = 40 guaranteed saved. Guarantee of 40 saved is better than 15 expected.

Question 7

Situation: During a riot, you must decide whether to deploy tear gas on a crowd of 500 protesters (risk of injury to 50, but stop violence) or let them protest (risk of 100 injuries from violence). What is the best decision in this emergency situation?
Risk assessment: 50 injuries from tear gas vs 100 injuries from violence. Immediate deployment minimizes total harm despite short-term side effects.

Question 8

Decision: Accept job offer immediately or negotiate with current employer? Based on expected value analysis, what is the optimal strategy?
Accept: guaranteed 25% raise. Negotiate: 50% chance of 15% raise, 50% chance of 0% raise → expected = 7.5% raise. Guaranteed 25% > expected 7.5%.

Question 9

Situation: A family needs to choose between buying a house in Suburb A (good schools, long commute) or Suburb B (shorter commute, average schools). What should be the primary criterion for this decision?
For a family decision, children's long-term development typically takes priority over convenience factors. Education quality has lasting impact on children's future opportunities.

Question 10

Situation: A professional can either: take a promotion with 20% raise but 10 hours more work weekly, or start a side business with potential for 50% income increase but high failure risk Considering opportunity costs, what is the best choice?
Promotion offers guaranteed 20% raise with known trade-offs. Side business has high failure risk (typically 50%+). The opportunity cost of not taking promotion is guaranteed income loss for uncertain gain.

Question 11

Situation: A farmer with limited land can either: grow wheat (guaranteed $5000 profit), grow organic vegetables (potential $8000 profit, 40% crop failure risk), or lease land to solar company (guaranteed $6000) Considering opportunity costs, what is the best choice?
Expected value of vegetables = $8000 × 0.6 = $4800, which is less than guaranteed $5000 from wheat. Solar lease gives $6000 guaranteed, making it optimal considering risk.

Question 12

Scenario: Selecting a candidate for promotion Criteria weights: Technical skills (30%), Leadership (30%), Experience (25%), Cultural fit (15%) Scores: Candidate P: 9/7/8/8, Candidate Q: 7/9/7/7, Candidate R: 8/8/9/9 Based on weighted multi-criteria evaluation, which option should be selected?
P=2.7+2.1+2.0+1.2=8.0; Q=2.1+2.7+1.75+1.05=7.6; R=2.4+2.4+2.25+1.35=8.4. Candidate R scores highest across all criteria.

Question 13

Scenario: Choosing a location for new factory Criteria weights: Labor costs (25%), Logistics (25%), Tax incentives (20%), Skilled workforce (20%), Energy costs (10%) Scores: Location X: 8/7/9/6/8, Location Y: 6/8/7/9/7, Location Z: 7/9/6/8/9 Based on weighted multi-criteria evaluation, which option should be selected?
X=2.0+1.75+1.8+1.2+0.8=7.55; Y=1.5+2.0+1.4+1.8+0.7=7.4; Z=1.75+2.25+1.2+1.6+0.9=7.7. Location Z scores highest.

Question 14

Scenario: Selecting a software vendor for company operations Criteria weights: Reliability (40%), Features (35%), Cost (25%) Scores: Vendor A: 9/8/7, Vendor B: 7/9/8, Vendor C: 8/7/9 Based on weighted multi-criteria evaluation, which option should be selected?
Weighted scores: A=9×0.4+8×0.35+7×0.25=3.6+2.8+1.75=8.15; B=2.8+3.15+2.0=7.95; C=3.2+2.45+2.25=7.9. Vendor A scores highest.

Question 15

Situation: Business expansion decision for cash-strapped startup with limited runway (6 months of cash left) Considering risk assessment, what is the most appropriate decision?
With only 6 months runway, survival is priority. Maintaining current operations gives 90% survival chance with minimal investment, avoiding overextension risk.

Question 16

Situation: Emergency room with one ventilator left. Four patients need it: 20-year-old (90% survival), 40-year-old (70% survival), 60-year-old (50% survival), 80-year-old (30% survival). What is the best decision in this emergency situation?
Utilitarian approach - maximizing total life years saved. Youngest patient has highest potential remaining lifespan and good survival probability.

Question 17

Decision: Accept job offer immediately or negotiate with current employer? Based on expected value analysis, what is the optimal strategy?
Accept: guaranteed 25% raise. Negotiate: 50% chance of 15% raise, 50% chance of 0% raise → expected = 7.5% raise. Guaranteed 25% > expected 7.5%.

Question 18

Situation: Factory fire with 50 workers inside. You can either: try to extinguish fire (30% success, 10 minutes, saves all) or evacuate (100% success, 5 minutes, saves 40 workers). What is the best decision in this emergency situation?
Expected value: Extinguish = 50×0.3 = 15 expected saved; Evacuate = 40 guaranteed saved. Guarantee of 40 saved is better than 15 expected.

Question 19

Decision: Pharmaceutical company setting price for life-saving drug Considering all stakeholder impacts, what is the most ethical and practical approach?
Balances profit motive with access to medicine. Differentiated pricing maximizes revenue while ensuring affordability in developing nations. This approach balances competing interests while prioritizing overall welfare.

Question 20

Decision: Accept job offer immediately or negotiate with current employer? Based on expected value analysis, what is the optimal strategy?
Accept: guaranteed 25% raise. Negotiate: 50% chance of 15% raise, 50% chance of 0% raise → expected = 7.5% raise. Guaranteed 25% > expected 7.5%.
Previous Worksheet Next Worksheet