Question 1
Statement: The country is facing severe economic recession with GDP contracting, widespread business failures, and banking sector under stress. Foreign investors are withdrawing capital rapidly.
Course of Action:
I. The central bank should cut interest rates and inject liquidity into the financial system.
II. Government should announce infrastructure spending programs to stimulate demand.
III. Tax incentives should be provided to businesses to encourage investment and job creation.
IIII. Capital controls should be imposed to prevent further capital flight.
IIIII. Currency should be devalued to make exports competitive.
IIIIII. All foreign investments should be nationalized to prevent capital outflow.
Action I provides monetary stimulus and prevents credit crunch. Action II uses fiscal policy to boost aggregate demand. Action III incentivizes private sector investment. Action IV prevents destabilizing capital flight during crisis (temporary measure). Action V may help exports but risks imported inflation and requires careful calibration - not automatically recommended. Action VI is economically catastrophic - nationalization destroys investor confidence, violates international law, and ensures long-term capital boycott. Counter-Cyclical Policy Framework: Monetary stimulus (I) + Fiscal stimulus (II) + Investment incentives (III) + Capital stability (IV) = Recession management. Policy Sequencing: I, II, III stimulate economy; IV provides stability. V requires context-specific analysis. VI destroys long-term credibility. International Finance Principles: IV (Capital controls) are recognized crisis tools; VI (Expropriation) violates international investment law. Risk-Benefit: I-IV have positive risk-benefit profiles; V is ambiguous; VI is economically suicidal.